Tuesday, October 22, 2013

209 Sports Week 7 Playoff Update/Projections for 2014 season and beyond

Last week, Richard Estrada of www.blackhatfootball.com reported that the Sac-Joaquin section will likely accept new proposals for the 2014 football season football playoffs.  First, if a team wins three section championships in a row, it will be required to move up a division the next year.  That rule would not start until 2015.  (Truth be told, I thought that rule was already in place.  It is the rule in basketball and volleyball).  The second proposal is to group divisions I-V and make division VI a group of its own.  Divsions I and II would remain a 16-team playoff, divisions III, IV, and V would be 12 teams, and division VI would remain at 6 teams.  In addition, division VI would only include the CCAA and SMAL.  (To see the full story, go to www.blackhatfootball.com)

This week, I will present the playoff projections in the current system, and under the new proposal.  A couple changes I will make in presentation is that both automatic teams in each league will be in red.  In previous posts, I only put the league leaders in red, but the top 2 in each league are automatics for playoffs, despite the overall record.  Also I will only mention the last two in for the groups I-IV, because they would be the first two out under the new proposal.

CURRENT FORMAT

Division I (Current Champion: Granite Bay Grizzlies-currently 1-1, 5-2)
(16) Lincoln (Stockton) (SJAA) 2-5 @ (1) Folsom (DRL) 7-0
(9) Pitman (Turlock) (CCC) 5-2 @ (8) Monterey Trail (Elk Grove) (DVL) 5-2
(12) Edison (Stockton) (TCAL) 5-2 @ (5) Jesuit (Carmichael) (DRL) 6-1
(13) Franklin (Elk Grove) (DVL) 4-3 @ (4) Oak Ridge (DRL) 6-1
(11) Modesto (MMC) 4-3 @ (6) Tokay (Lodi) (TCAL) 6-1
(14) River City (West Sacramento) (SVC) 4-4 @ (3) Stagg (Stockton) (TCAL) 6-1
(10) Granite Bay (SFL) 5-2 @ (7) Merced (CCC) 5-2
(15) Napa (MEL) 4-3 @ (2) Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) (DRL) 7-0

Division II (Current Champion: Folsom Bulldogs-currently 2-0, 7-0)
(16) Atwater (CCC) 4-3 @ (1) Elk Grove (DVL) 7-0
(9) St. Mary's (Stockton) (TCAL) 5-2 @ (8) Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove) (SVC) 5-2
(12) Gregori (Modesto) (MMC) 5-3 @ (5) Del Oro (Loomis) (SFL) 5-2
(13) Vacaville (MEL) 4-3 @ (4) Yuba City (TCC) 6-1
(11) Burbank (Sacramento) (ML) 5-2 @ (6) Antelope (CAL) 5-2
(14) Whitney (Rocklin) (CAL) 4-3 @ (3) Tracy (SJAA) 6-1
(10) Rocklin (SFL) 5-2 @ (7) Beyer (Modesto) (MMC) 5-2
(15) Grant (Sacramento) (DVL) 4-3 @ (2) Wood (Vacaville) (MEL) 6-1

Division III (Current Champion: Oakdale Mustangs-currently 3-1, 4-3)
(16) Placer (Auburn) (PVL) 3-4 @ (1) Patterson (WAC) 7-0
(9) Casa Roble (Orangevale) 6-1 @ (8) Benicia (SCAC) 6-1
(12) River Valley (Yuba City) (TCC) 5-2 @ (5) Rio Linda (CVC) 6-1
(13) Sacramento (ML) 5-2 @ (4) Manteca (VOL) 6-1
(11) Inderkum (Sacramento) (TCC) 5-2 @ (6) Lincoln (PVL) 6-1
(14) Sierra (Manteca) (VOL) 5-2 @ (3) American Canyon (SCAC) 6-1
(10) Pacheco (Los Banos) (WAC) 6-2 @ (7) Vista del Lago (Folsom) (SVC) 6-2
(15) Oakdale (VOL) 4-3 @ (2) Rosemont (Sacramento) (ML) 7-0

Note: I believe the Section has the authority to switch the seeds of Oakdale and Sierra since Oakdale won the head-to-head game, and Oakdale would get the 2nd place slot and Sierra would be an at-large, but unless two teams of the same league would get matched up, I am just going by the math.

Division IV (Current Champion: Central Catholic Raiders-currently 3-0, 6-1)
(16) Center (Antelope) (PVL) 4-3 @ (1) Hilmar (TVL) 8-0
(9) Bear River (Grass Valley) (PVL) 5-2 @ (8) Liberty Ranch (Galt) (SVC) 5-3
(12) Marysville (GEL) 4-3 @ (5) Colfax (PVL) 6-1
(13) Escalon (TVL) 4-3 @ (4) Capital Christian (Sacramento) (GEL) 6-1
(11) West Campus (GEL) 5-2 @ (6) Amador (MLL) 6-1
(14) Modesto Christian (TVL) 4-3 @ (3) Central Catholic (Modesto) (WAC) 6-1
(10) Hughson (TVL) 5-2 @ (7) Calaveras (MLL) 5-2
(15) Argonaut (Jackson) (MLL) 4-3 @ (2) Ripon (TVL) 7-1

Note: The section would probably switch Calaveras and Amador for the same reason it could switch Oakdale and Sierra in division III.

Division V (Current Champion: Le Grand Bulldogs-currently 4-0, 7-0)
(5) Gustine (SL) 4-3 @ (4) Millennium (Tracy) (CCAA) 4-3
winner would play @ (1) Le Grand (SL) 7-0
(6) Waterford (SL) 3-4 @ (3) Mariposa (SL) 6-1
winner would play @ (2) Rio Vista (SDL) 6-1

Note: In this case, an intra-league first round match-up cannot be avoided.  Therefore, I just stuck with the math.

Division VI (Current Champion: Brookside Christian Knights-currently 2-0, 4-3)
(5) Brookside Christian (Stockton) (CCAA) 4-3 @ (4) Bradshaw Christian (Sacramento) (SDL) 5-2
winner would play @ (1) Woodland Christian (SMAL) 6-1
(6) Big Valley (Modesto) (CCAA) 4-3 @ (3) Foresthill (SMAL) 5-3
winner would play @ (2) Ripon Christian (SL) 6-1

WHAT THIS YEAR'S PLAYOFFS WOULD LOOK LIKE UNDER NEW PROPOSAL

Division I
(16) Lincoln (Stockton) (SJAA) 2-5 @ (1) Folsom (DRL) 7-0
(9) Monterey Trail (Elk Grove) (DVL) 5-2 @ (8) Merced (CCC) 5-2
(12) Modesto (MMC) 4-3 @ (5) Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) (DRL) 6-1
(13) Franklin (Elk Grove) (DVL) 4-3 @ (4) Stagg (Stockton) (TCAL) 6-1
(11) Granite Bay (SFL) 5-2 @ (6) Jesuit (Carmichael) (DRL) 6-1
(14) Edison (Stockton) (TCAL) 5-2 @ (3) Tracy (SJAA) 6-1
(10) Pitman (Turlock) (CCC) 5-2 @ (7) Tokay (Lodi) (TCAL) 6-1
(15) River City (West Sacramento) (SVC) 4-4 @ (2) Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) (DRL) 7-0

Division II
(16) Whitney (Rocklin) (CAL) 4-3 @ (1) Elk Grove (DVL) 7-0
(9) St. Mary's (Stockton) (TCAL) 5-2 @ (8) Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove) (SVC) 5-2
(12) River Valley (Yuba City) 5-2 @ (5) Del Oro (Loomis) (SFL) 5-2
(13) Gregori (Modesto) (MMC) 5-3 @ (4) Yuba City (TCC) 6-1
(11) Burbank (Sacramento) (ML) 5-2 @ (6) Antelope (CAL) 5-2
(14) Vacaville (MEL) 4-3 @ (3) Rio Linda (CVC) 6-1
(10) Rocklin (SFL) 5-2 @ (7) Beyer (Modesto) (MMC) 5-2
(15) Grant (Sacramento) (DVL) 4-3 @ (2) Wood (Vacaville) (MEL) 6-1

Division III
(9) Pacheco (Los Banos) (WAC) 6-2 @ (8) Casa Roble (Orangevale) (CVC) 6-1
winner would play at (1) Patterson (WAC) 7-0
(12) Oakdale (VOL) 4-3 @ (5) Lincoln (PVL) 6-1
winner would play at (5) Manteca (VOL) 6-1
(11) Sacramento (ML) 5-2 @ (6) Vista del Lago (Folsom) 6-2
winner would play at (3) American Canyon (SCAC) 6-1
(10) Inderkum (Sacramento) 5-2 @ (7) Benicia (SCAC) 6-1
winner would play at (2) Rosemont (Sacramento) (ML) 7-0

Division IV
(9) West Campus (Sacramento) (GEL) 5-2 @ (8) Hughson (TVL) 5-2
winner would play at (1) Ripon (TVL) 7-1
(12) Placer (Auburn) (PVL) 3-4 @ (5) Liberty Ranch (Galt) (SVC) 5-3
winner would play at (4) Calaveras (MLL) 5-2
(11) Marysville (GEL) 4-3 @ (6) Bear River (Grass Valley) 5-2
winner would play at (3) Central Catholic (Modesto) (WAC) 6-1
(10) Escalon (TVL) 4-3 @ (7) Sierra (Manteca) (VOL) 5-2
winner would play at (2) Colfax (PVL) 6-1

Division V
(9) Argonaut (Jackson) (MLL) 5-2 @ (8) Mariposa (SL) 6-1
winner would play @ (1) Hilmar (TVL)
(12) Modesto Christian (TVL) 4-3 @ (5) Ripon Christian (SL) 6-1
winner would play @ (4) Central Catholic (Modesto) (WAC) 6-1
(11) Gustine (SL) 4-3 @ (6) Rio Vista (SDL) 6-1
winner would play @ (3) Capital Christian (Sacramento) 6-1
(7) Amador (Sutter Creek) (MLL) 6-1 @ (10) Bradshaw Christian (Sacramento) (SDL) 5-2
winner would play @ (2) Le Grand (SL) 7-0

Division VI
(5) Millennium (Tracy) (CCAA) 4-3 @ (4) Big Valley (CCAA) 4-3
winner would play @ (1) Woodland Chrisitian (SMAL) 6-1
(6) Stone Ridge Christian (Merced) (CCAA) 3-4 @ (3) Brookside Christian (Stockton) (CCAA) 4-3
winner would be @ (2) Foresthill (SMAL) 5-3

Teams in current format that would be out in proposal: Atwater, Napa, Waterford
Team in  proposal that is out in current format: Stone Ridge Christian

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