Key:
209 teams in bold and italics
League Leaders in Red
^=Teams not in week 2 projections
Division I- Defending champion: Granite Bay Grizzlies (currently 2-1)
(16) Granite Bay (SFL)^ 2-1 @ (1) Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) (DRL) 4-0
(9) Franklin (Elk Grove) (DRL) 3-1 @ (8) Jesuit (Carmichael) (DVL) 3-0
(12) Monterey Trail (Elk Grove) 3-1 @ (5) Turlock (CCC) 4-0
(13) Davis (DVL) 3-1 @ (4) Folsom (DRL) 4-0
(11) Merced (CCC) 3-1 @ (6) Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) 4-0
(14) Modesto (MMC) 2-2 @ (3) Pitman (Turlock) (CCC) 4-0
(10) Franklin (Stockton)^ (SJAA) 3-1 @ (7) Edison (Stockton) (TCAL) 3-0
(15) Sheldon (Sacramento) (DRL) 2-2 @ (2) Tokay (Lodi) 4-0
Note: To my error, Franklin of Stockton's forfeit win against Stone Ridge Christian (Merced) does count as an official win, and should have been in last week's projections
Bubble Teams (Could move down a division): Folsom, Tokay
Week 4 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Oak Ridge vs. Vacaville (2-1)
Tokay vs. Lodi (1-2)
Division II- Defending champion: Folsom Bulldogs (currently 4-0)
(16) Beyer (Modesto) (MMC) 2-2 @ (1) Yuba City (TCC) 4-0
(8) Atwater (CCC) 3-1 @ (9) Antelope (CAL)^ 2-2
(12) Rocklin (SFL)^ 2-2 @ (5) Tracy (SJAA) 3-1
(13) St. Mary's (Stockton) (TCAL) 2-1 @ (4) Roseville (SFL) 3-1
(11) Vacaville (MEL) 2-1 @ (6) Gregori (Modesto) (MMC) 3-1
(14) Downey (Modesto) (MMC) 2-2 @ (3) Ponderosa (DRL) 4-0
(7) Grant (Sacramento) (DVL) 3-1 @ (10) Wood (Vacaville) (MEL)^ 2-1
(15) River Valley (Yuba City)^ (TCC) 2-1 @ (2) Elk Grove (DVL) 4-0
Bubble Teams (Could move up a division): Roseville, Tracy
Bubble Teams (Could move down a division): River Valley, Yuba City
Week 4 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Yuba City vs. Placer (Auburn) (1-2)
Elk Grove @ Nevada Union (Grass Valley) (0-4)
Division III- Defending champion: Oakdale Mustangs (currently 1-2)
(16) Sacramento^ (ML) 2-1 @ (1) Vista del Lago (Folsom) (SVC) 4-0
(9) American Canyon (SCAC) 3-1 @ (8) Inderkum (Sacramento) (TCC) 3-1
(12) Central Valley (Ceres) (WAC) 3-1 @ (5) Rosemont (Sacramento) (ML) 3-0
(4) El Dorado (Placerville) (SVC) 4-0 @ (13) Manteca (VOL) 2-1
(11) Casa Roble (Orangevale) (CVC) 3-1 @ (6) Center (Antelope) (PVL) 3-0
(14) El Camino (Sacramento) (CAL) 2-2 @ (3) Patterson (WAC) 4-0
(10) Pacheco (Los Banos) (WAC) 3-1 @ (7) Christian Brothers (Sacramento) (CVC) 3-1
(15) Sierra (Manteca) (VOL) 2-1 @ (2) Benicia (SCAC) 4-0
Bubble Teams (Could move up a division): El Camino, Central Valley
Bubble Teams (Could move down a division): Center, Sierra
Week 4 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Vista del Lago vs. El Dorado (Placerville) 3-1
Benicia vs. Wood (Vacaville) 2-1 (@ Vacaville)
Division IV- Defending champion: Central Catholic Raiders (currently 3-1)
(16) Linden^ (MLL) 2-2 @ (1) West Campus (Sacramento) (GEL) 4-0
(9) Central Catholic (Modesto) (WAC) 3-1 @ (8) Hughson (TVL) 3-1
(12) Los Banos (WAC) 3-1 @ (5) Hilmar (TVL) 4-0
(13) Escalon (TVL) 2-2 @ (4) Amador (Sutter Creek) (MLL) 4-0
(11) Calaveras (San Andreas) (MLL) 2-1 @ (6) Capital Christian (Sacramento) (GEL) 4-0
(14) Liberty Ranch (Galt)^ (SVC) 2-2 @ (3) Colfax (PVL) 4-0
(10) Modesto Christian (TVL) 3-1 @ (7) Bear River (Grass Valley) (PVL) 3-0
(15) Marysville (GEL) 2-2 @ (2) Ripon (TVL) 4-0
Bubble Teams: None
Week 4 Opponents for top 2 seeds: West Campus vs. Stone Ridge Chr. (Merced) (1-2) (Sat 9/28)
Ripon vs. Escalon (2-2)
Division I-IV Playoff Borderline
Last 4 in First 4 out Next 4 out
River Valley (Division II Bracket) Vintage (Napa) 2-2 Riverbank 2-2
Beyer (Division II Bracket) Bella Vista (Fair Oaks) 2-2 Buhach Colony (Atwater) 2-2
Downey (Division II Bracket) Napa 2-2 Rio Linda 2-1
Sheldon (Division I Bracket) Stagg (Stockton) 2-1 Oakmont (Roseville) 2-2
Division V- Defending Champion: Le Grand Bulldogs (currently 3-0)
(4) San Juan (Citrus Heights) (SDL) 3-1 @ (5) Millennium (Tracy) (CCAA) 2-2
winner would play @ (1) Delhi (SL) 3-0
(6) Encina (Sacramento)^ (SDL) 2-2 @ (3) Mariposa (SL) 3-0
winner would play @ (2) Le Grand (SL) 3-0
Bubble Teams: None
Week 4 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Delhi @ Waterford (1-2)
Le Grand @ Denair (0-3)
Division VI- Defending Champion: Brookside Christian Knights (currently 0-3)
(5) Bradshaw Chrisitan (Sacramento) (SDL) 2-2 @ (4) Foresthill (SMAL) 2-2
winner would play @ (1) Woodland Christian (SMAL) 4-0
(6) Stone Ridge Christian (Merced)^ (CCAA) 1-2 @ (3) Vacaville Christian (SDL) 2-0
winner would play @ (2) Rio Vista (SDL) 3-0
Bubble Teams (Could move up a division): Rio Vista, Bradshaw Christian
Week 4 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Woodland Christian @ Foresthill (2-2)
Rio Vista vs. Highlands (North Highlands) (0-4)
Division V-VI Borderline
Last 2 In First 2 Out
Encina (Division V Bracket) Ripon Christian 2-1
Bradshaw Christian (Division VI Bracket) Waterford 1-2
Tuesday, September 24, 2013
Thursday, September 19, 2013
209 Sports- Week 2 of High School Football Playoff Projections
There are a couple of new concepts I will add to this week. 1) Newcomers to the projections. A team is a newcomer if it wasn't there the previous week. Even if the team dropped out of the bracket one week and got back the next, it would still be a newcomer. 2) Bubble teams. The term takes a different definition in this case than what we are all used to. In NCAA Basketball, it means a team who could be in or out of the tournament. In this case, a "bubble team" is a team who could move up or down a division depending on who makes the playoffs.
DIVISIONS I-IV
Code: BOLD= 209 teams Red=League Leaders ^=Newcomers
Division I (Defending Champion-Granite Bay Grizzles, currently 1-1)
(16) Lodi^ (SJAA) 1-1 @ (1) Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) (DRL) 3-0
(9) Roseville (SFL) 2-1 @ (8) Tracy (SJAA) 2-1
(12) Merced (CCC) 2-1 @ (5) Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) (DRL) 3-0
(13) Monterey Trail (Elk Grove) (DVL) 2-1 @ (4) Turlock (CCC) 3-0
(11) Franklin (Elk Grove) (DVL) 2-1 @ (6) Edison (TCAL) 2-0
(14) Sheldon (Sacramento) (DRL) 2-1 @ (3) Tokay (Lodi) (TCAL) 3-0
(10) Modesto (MMC) 2-1 @ (7) Jesuit (Carmichael) (DRL) 2-0
(15) Davis^ (DVL) 2-1 @ (2) Pitman (CCC) 3-0
Bubble Teams (Could drop a division): Tracy, Roseville
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Oak Ridge @ Grant (Sacramento) 3-0
Pitman vs. Oakland Tech (Oakland) 2-1
Division II (Defending Champion-Folsom Bulldogs, currently 3-0)
(16) Johnson (Sacramento)^ (ML) 1-1 @ (1) Grant (Sacramento) (DVL) 3-0
(9) St. Mary's (Stockton) (TCAL) 2-1 @ (8) Vintage (Napa)^ (MEL) 2-1
(12) Downey (Modesto)^ (MMC) 2-1 @ (5) Elk Grove (DVL) 3-0
(13) Oakmont (Roseville) (CVC) 2-1 @ (4) Yuba City (TCC) 3-0
(11) Atwater (CCC) 2-1 @ (6) Ponderosa (Shingle Springs) (DRL) 3-0
(3) Folsom (DRL) 3-0 @ (14) Whitney (Rocklin) (CAL) (1-2)
(10) Beyer (Modesto) (MMC) 2-1 @ (7) Vacaville (MEL) 2-0
(15) Del Oro (Loomis) (SFL) 1-1 @ (2) Gregori (Modesto) MMC 3-0
Bubble Teams (Could move up a division): Beyer, Folsom (both were in D-I last week)
Bubble Teams (Could drop a division): Oakmont, Yuba City (both were in D-III last week)
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Grant vs. Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) 3-0
Gregori @ Liberty Ranch (Galt) 1-2 (Thursday 9/19)
Division III (Defending Champion-Oakdale Mustangs, currently 0-2)
(16) El Camino (Sacramento)^ (CAL) 1-2 @ (1) Inderkum (Sacramento) (TCC) 3-0
(9) Vista del Lago (Folsom) (SVC) 2-1 @ (8) Manteca (VOL) 2-1
(12) Sierra (VOL) 2-1 @ (5) Rosemont (Sacramento) (ML) 2-0
(13) American Canyon (SCAC) 2-1 @ (4) Patterson (WAC) 3-0
(11) El Dorado (Placerville)^ (SVC) 2-1 @ (6) Vanden (SCAC) 2-0
(14) Pacheco (Los Banos)^ (WAC) 2-1 @ (3) Benicia (SCAC) 3-0
(10) Casa Roble (Orangevale) (CVC) 2-1 @ (7) Lincoln (PVL) 2-0
(15) Central Valley (Ceres)^ (WAC) 2-1 @ (2) Christian Brothers (Sacramento) (CVC) 3-0
Bubble Teams (Could move up a division): El Camino, Patterson
Bubble Teams (Could move down a division): Sierra, El Dorado
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Inderkum vs. Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) 3-0 @ Sheldon
Christian Brothers vs. Jesuit (Carmichael) 2-0 @ Hughes Stadium (Sacramento)
Division IV (Defending Champion-Central Catholic Raiders, currently 2-1)
(16) Modesto Chrisitan^ (TVL) 2-1 @ (1) West Campus (Sacramento) (GEL) 3-0
(9) Bear River (Grass Valley) (PVL) 2-0 @ (8) Hughson (TVL) 2-0
(12) Marysville (GEL) 2-1 @ (5) Colfax (PVL) 3-0
(13) Los Banos (WAC) 2-1 @ (4) Amador (Sutter Creek) (MLL) 3-0
(11) Escalon (TVL) 2-1 @ (6) Capital Christian (Sacramento) (GEL) 3-0
(14) Riverbank (TVL) 2-1 @ (3) Center (Antelope) (PVL) 3-0
(10) Central Catholic (Modesto) (WAC) 2-1 @ (7) Hilmar (TVL) 3-0
(15) Calaveras (San Andreas) (MLL) 1-1 @ (2) Ripon (TVL) 3-0
Bubble Team (Could move up a division): Center
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: West Campus @ Esparto 0-3
Ripon vs. Lathrop 0-2
Divisions I-IV last 4 in 1st 4 out Next 4 out
Oakmont (D-III Bracket) Bella Vista (Fair Oaks) 2-1 Placer (Auburn) 1-2
Central Valley (D-III Bracket) Burbank (Sacramento) 1-2 Woodland 1-2
Downey (D-II Bracket) Rocklin 1-2 Bear Creek (Stockton) 1-2
Atwater (D-II Bracket) Woodcreek (Roseville) 1-2 Livingston 1-2
DIVISIONS V-VI
Division V (Defending Champion-Le Grand Bulldogs, currently 3-0)
(5) Waterford (SL)^ 1-2 @ (4) Millennium (CCAA) 2-1
winner would play @ (1) Delhi (SL) 3-0
(6) San Juan (Citrus Heights) (SDL) 2-1 @ (3) Mariposa (SL) 2-0
winner would play (2) Le Grand (SL) 3-0
Bubble teams: None
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Delhi has a bye
Le Grand also has a bye
Division VI (Defending Champion-Brookside Christian Knights, currently 0-2)
(5) Big Valley (Modesto) (CCAA) 1-2 @ (4) Vacaville Christian^ (SDL) (1-0)
winner would play (1) Woodland Christian (SMAL) 3-0
(6) Foresthill^ (SMAL) 1-2 @ (3) Bradshaw Christian (Sacramento) (SDL) 2-1
winner would play (2) Rio Vista (SDL) 3-0
Bubble Teams (Could move up a division): Rio Vista, Bradshaw Christian
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Woodland Christian vs. Valley Chr. 0-3 @ Highlands HS (Sat.)
Rio Vista vs. Hoopa Valley (Hoopa) 0-3
Divisions V-VI last 2 in First 2 Out
Waterford (D-V Bracket) Encina (Sacramento) 1-2
San Juan (D-V Bracket) Cristo Rey (Sacramento) 1-2
DIVISIONS I-IV
Code: BOLD= 209 teams Red=League Leaders ^=Newcomers
Division I (Defending Champion-Granite Bay Grizzles, currently 1-1)
(16) Lodi^ (SJAA) 1-1 @ (1) Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) (DRL) 3-0
(9) Roseville (SFL) 2-1 @ (8) Tracy (SJAA) 2-1
(12) Merced (CCC) 2-1 @ (5) Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) (DRL) 3-0
(13) Monterey Trail (Elk Grove) (DVL) 2-1 @ (4) Turlock (CCC) 3-0
(11) Franklin (Elk Grove) (DVL) 2-1 @ (6) Edison (TCAL) 2-0
(14) Sheldon (Sacramento) (DRL) 2-1 @ (3) Tokay (Lodi) (TCAL) 3-0
(10) Modesto (MMC) 2-1 @ (7) Jesuit (Carmichael) (DRL) 2-0
(15) Davis^ (DVL) 2-1 @ (2) Pitman (CCC) 3-0
Bubble Teams (Could drop a division): Tracy, Roseville
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Oak Ridge @ Grant (Sacramento) 3-0
Pitman vs. Oakland Tech (Oakland) 2-1
Division II (Defending Champion-Folsom Bulldogs, currently 3-0)
(16) Johnson (Sacramento)^ (ML) 1-1 @ (1) Grant (Sacramento) (DVL) 3-0
(9) St. Mary's (Stockton) (TCAL) 2-1 @ (8) Vintage (Napa)^ (MEL) 2-1
(12) Downey (Modesto)^ (MMC) 2-1 @ (5) Elk Grove (DVL) 3-0
(13) Oakmont (Roseville) (CVC) 2-1 @ (4) Yuba City (TCC) 3-0
(11) Atwater (CCC) 2-1 @ (6) Ponderosa (Shingle Springs) (DRL) 3-0
(3) Folsom (DRL) 3-0 @ (14) Whitney (Rocklin) (CAL) (1-2)
(10) Beyer (Modesto) (MMC) 2-1 @ (7) Vacaville (MEL) 2-0
(15) Del Oro (Loomis) (SFL) 1-1 @ (2) Gregori (Modesto) MMC 3-0
Bubble Teams (Could move up a division): Beyer, Folsom (both were in D-I last week)
Bubble Teams (Could drop a division): Oakmont, Yuba City (both were in D-III last week)
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Grant vs. Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) 3-0
Gregori @ Liberty Ranch (Galt) 1-2 (Thursday 9/19)
Division III (Defending Champion-Oakdale Mustangs, currently 0-2)
(16) El Camino (Sacramento)^ (CAL) 1-2 @ (1) Inderkum (Sacramento) (TCC) 3-0
(9) Vista del Lago (Folsom) (SVC) 2-1 @ (8) Manteca (VOL) 2-1
(12) Sierra (VOL) 2-1 @ (5) Rosemont (Sacramento) (ML) 2-0
(13) American Canyon (SCAC) 2-1 @ (4) Patterson (WAC) 3-0
(11) El Dorado (Placerville)^ (SVC) 2-1 @ (6) Vanden (SCAC) 2-0
(14) Pacheco (Los Banos)^ (WAC) 2-1 @ (3) Benicia (SCAC) 3-0
(10) Casa Roble (Orangevale) (CVC) 2-1 @ (7) Lincoln (PVL) 2-0
(15) Central Valley (Ceres)^ (WAC) 2-1 @ (2) Christian Brothers (Sacramento) (CVC) 3-0
Bubble Teams (Could move up a division): El Camino, Patterson
Bubble Teams (Could move down a division): Sierra, El Dorado
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Inderkum vs. Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) 3-0 @ Sheldon
Christian Brothers vs. Jesuit (Carmichael) 2-0 @ Hughes Stadium (Sacramento)
Division IV (Defending Champion-Central Catholic Raiders, currently 2-1)
(16) Modesto Chrisitan^ (TVL) 2-1 @ (1) West Campus (Sacramento) (GEL) 3-0
(9) Bear River (Grass Valley) (PVL) 2-0 @ (8) Hughson (TVL) 2-0
(12) Marysville (GEL) 2-1 @ (5) Colfax (PVL) 3-0
(13) Los Banos (WAC) 2-1 @ (4) Amador (Sutter Creek) (MLL) 3-0
(11) Escalon (TVL) 2-1 @ (6) Capital Christian (Sacramento) (GEL) 3-0
(14) Riverbank (TVL) 2-1 @ (3) Center (Antelope) (PVL) 3-0
(10) Central Catholic (Modesto) (WAC) 2-1 @ (7) Hilmar (TVL) 3-0
(15) Calaveras (San Andreas) (MLL) 1-1 @ (2) Ripon (TVL) 3-0
Bubble Team (Could move up a division): Center
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: West Campus @ Esparto 0-3
Ripon vs. Lathrop 0-2
Divisions I-IV last 4 in 1st 4 out Next 4 out
Oakmont (D-III Bracket) Bella Vista (Fair Oaks) 2-1 Placer (Auburn) 1-2
Central Valley (D-III Bracket) Burbank (Sacramento) 1-2 Woodland 1-2
Downey (D-II Bracket) Rocklin 1-2 Bear Creek (Stockton) 1-2
Atwater (D-II Bracket) Woodcreek (Roseville) 1-2 Livingston 1-2
DIVISIONS V-VI
Division V (Defending Champion-Le Grand Bulldogs, currently 3-0)
(5) Waterford (SL)^ 1-2 @ (4) Millennium (CCAA) 2-1
winner would play @ (1) Delhi (SL) 3-0
(6) San Juan (Citrus Heights) (SDL) 2-1 @ (3) Mariposa (SL) 2-0
winner would play (2) Le Grand (SL) 3-0
Bubble teams: None
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Delhi has a bye
Le Grand also has a bye
Division VI (Defending Champion-Brookside Christian Knights, currently 0-2)
(5) Big Valley (Modesto) (CCAA) 1-2 @ (4) Vacaville Christian^ (SDL) (1-0)
winner would play (1) Woodland Christian (SMAL) 3-0
(6) Foresthill^ (SMAL) 1-2 @ (3) Bradshaw Christian (Sacramento) (SDL) 2-1
winner would play (2) Rio Vista (SDL) 3-0
Bubble Teams (Could move up a division): Rio Vista, Bradshaw Christian
Week 3 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Woodland Christian vs. Valley Chr. 0-3 @ Highlands HS (Sat.)
Rio Vista vs. Hoopa Valley (Hoopa) 0-3
Divisions V-VI last 2 in First 2 Out
Waterford (D-V Bracket) Encina (Sacramento) 1-2
San Juan (D-V Bracket) Cristo Rey (Sacramento) 1-2
Wednesday, September 11, 2013
209 Sports-Sac-Joaquin Football Playoff Projections Week 1/ If I had my way NCAA Football playoffs week 2
Here are the football playoff projections after week 1 (Note: Many teams have played two games already due to playing a week 0 game). A quick version of how a team makes the playoffs:
All divisions: Top 2 in each league are automatically in
Divisions I-IV: Next 24 best records get at-large berths
Divisions V-VI: Next 4 best records get at-large berths.
Please go to www.cifsjs.org for full explaination.
This is just a projection of the playoffs after week 1. At the end of the season, I expect Granite Bay and Oakdale to get in, and Laguna Creek and Riverbank to be out.
Finally, if you follow this weekly, some teams may move up or down divisions, depending on who makes the playoffs. With a few exceptions, the divisions are determined by enrollment. For example, this week, Folsom is in Division I, but if more larger schools make the playoffs, Folsom could drop to Division II.
DIVISIONS I-IV
Key for all divisions Bold=209 Teams
Division I- Defending Champion: Granite Bay Grizzlies (currently 0-1)
(16) Monterey Trail (Elk Grove) DVL 1-1 @ (1) Tokay (Lodi) TCAL 2-0
(9) Beyer (Modesto) 2-0 @ (8) Pitman (Turlock) CCC 2-0
(12) Sheldon (Sacramento) 2-0 @ (5) Merced CCC 2-0
(13) Jesuit (Carmichael) DRL 1-0 @ (4) Roseville SFL 2-0
(11) Folsom DRL 2-0 @ (6) Modesto MMC 2-0
(14) Edison (Stockton) TCAL 1-0 @ (3) Franklin (Elk Grove) DVL 2-0
(10) Turlock CCC 2-0 @ (7) Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) DRL 2-0
(15) Tracy SJAA 1-1 @ (2) Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) DRL 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Tokay: vs. Weston Ranch (Stockton) 0-1
Oak Ridge: vs. Franklin (EG) @ Cosumnes Oaks HS (Elk Grove) 2-0
Division II- Defending Champion: Folsom Bulldogs (currently 2-0)
(16) Atwater CCC 1-1 @ (1) Elk Grove DVL 2-0
(8) Vallejo SCAC 1-0 @ (9) Whitney (Rocklin) CAL 1-1
(12) Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove) SVC 1-1 @ (5) Gregori (Modesto) MMC 2-0
(13) Wood (Vacaville) MEL 1-1 @ (4) Ponderosa (Shingle Springs) DRL 2-0
(11) Burbank (Sacramento) ML 1-1 @ (6) Vacaville MEL 1-0
(14) Bear Creek (Stockton) SJAA 1-1 @ (3) Grant (Sacramento) DVL 2-0
(10) Del Oro (Loomis) SFL 1-1 @ (7) Laguna Creek (Elk Grove) DVL 1-0
(15) Bethel (Fairfield) SCAC 1-1 @ (2) St. Mary's (Stockton) TCAL 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Elk Grove vs. Del Campo (Fair Oaks) 1-1 (Saturday 9/14)
St. Mary's vs. Del La Salle (Concord) 2-0 on ESPN
Division III- Defending Champion: Oakdale Mustangs (currently 0-2)
(16) Sierra (Manteca) VOL 1-1 @ (1) Inderkum (Sacramento) TCC 2-0
(8) Casa Roble (Orangevale) CVC 2-0 @ (9) Rosemont (Sacramento) ML 1-0
(12) Lincoln PVL 1-0 @ (5) American Canyon SCAC 2-0
(4) Yuba City TCC 2-0 @ (13) Vista del Lago (Folsom) SVC 1-1
(11) River Valley (Yuba City) TCC 1-0 @ (6) Christian Brothers (Sacramento) CVC 2-0
(14) Manteca VOL 1-1 @ (3) Oakmont (Roseville) CVC 2-0
(10) Vanden (Fairfield) SCAC 1-0 @ (7) Patterson WAC 2-0
(15) Antelope CAL 1-1 @ (2) Benicia SCAC 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Inderkum @ Casa Roble (Orangevale) 2-0
Benicia @ Carillo (Santa Rosa) 0-1
Division IV- Defending Champion: Central Catholic Raiders (currently 1-1)
(16) Central Catholic (Modesto) WAC 1-1 @ (1) Ripon TVL 2-0
(9) Riverbank TVL 2-0 @ (8) Center (Antelope) PVL 2-0
(12) Hughson TVL 1-0 @ (5) Amador (Sutter Creek) MLL 2-0
(13) Bear River (Grass Valley) PVL 1-0 @ (4) Capital Christian (Sacramento) GEL 2-0
(11) West Campus (Sacramento) GEL 2-0 @ (6) Hilmar TVL 2-0
(14) Mesa Verde (Citrus Heights) GEL 1-0 @ (3) Los Banos WAC 2-0
(10) Calaveras (San Andreas) MLL 1-0 @ (7) Marysville GEL 2-0
(15) Escalon TVL 1-1 @ (2) Colfax PVL 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Ripon vs. Ripon Christian 1-0
Colfax vs. Union Mine (El Dorado) 0-2
DIVISIONS I-IV
Last 4 IN First 4 OUT
Escalon (Division IV Bracket) Modesto Christian (TVL) 1-1
Atwater (Division II Bracket) Downey (Modesto) (MMC) 1-1
Central Catholic (Division IV Bracket) Argonaut (Jackson) (MLL) 1-1
Bethel (Division II Bracket) River Valley (Yuba City) (TCC) 1-1
DIVISIONS V-VI
Division V- Defending Champion: Le Grand Bulldogs (currently 2-0)
(5) Mariposa SL 1-0 vs. (4) San Juan (Citrus Heights) SDL 2-0
winner would play (1) Delhi SL 2-0
(6) Millennium (Tracy) CCAA 1-1 @ (3) Le Grand SL 2-0
winner would play (2) Rio Vista SDL 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Delhi @ Riverbank 2-0
Rio Vista @ Esparto 0-2
Division VI- Defending Champion: Brookside Christian Knights (currently 0-1)
(5) Bradshaw Christian (Sacramento) SDL 1-1 @ (4) Cristo Rey (Sacramento) SMAL 1-1
winner would play (1) Woodland Christian SMAL 2-0
(6) Vacaville Christian SDL 0-0 @ (3) Big Valley (Modesto) CCAA 1-1
winner would play (2) Ripon Christian SL 1-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds:
Woodland Christian vs. Cristo Rey (Sacramento) 1-1 (Saturday 9/14)
Ripon Christian vs. Ripon 2-0
DIVISIONS V-VI
Last 2 In First 2 Out
Vacaville Christian (Division VI Bracket) Denair (SL) 0-1
Bradshaw Christian (Division VI Bracket) Sierra Ridge/ROP (San Andreas) (CCAA) 0-1
NCAA Football
This is what the NCAA football playoffs would look like if I had my way. Please see my blog for week 1 for an explaination of how it would work.
Conference Leaders
SEC- Mississippi (1-0, 2-0)
American Athletic- Houston (1-0, 2-0)
ACC- Boston College (1-0, 2-0)
Big 10- Wisconsin (2-0)
Big 12- Oklahoma (1-0, 2-0)
Conference USA- East Carolina (1-0, 2-0)
MAC- Bowling Green (1-0, 2-0)
Mountain West- Fresno St. (2-0)
PAC-12- Washington St. (1-0, 1-1)
Sun Belt- Troy (2-0)
Wildcards
Alabama (1-0)
Oregon (2-0)
Bracket
1. Oklahoma
Bye
8. Washington St.
9. Boston College
5. Alabama
12. Troy
4. Fresno St.
Bye
6. Oregon
11. Houston
3. Mississippi
Bye
7. Bowling Green
10. East Carolina
2. Wisconsin
Bye
(Note: I can almost guarantee that the final bracket would look nothing like this by the end of the season, but it is what it would look like after week 2.)
All divisions: Top 2 in each league are automatically in
Divisions I-IV: Next 24 best records get at-large berths
Divisions V-VI: Next 4 best records get at-large berths.
Please go to www.cifsjs.org for full explaination.
This is just a projection of the playoffs after week 1. At the end of the season, I expect Granite Bay and Oakdale to get in, and Laguna Creek and Riverbank to be out.
Finally, if you follow this weekly, some teams may move up or down divisions, depending on who makes the playoffs. With a few exceptions, the divisions are determined by enrollment. For example, this week, Folsom is in Division I, but if more larger schools make the playoffs, Folsom could drop to Division II.
DIVISIONS I-IV
Key for all divisions Bold=209 Teams
Division I- Defending Champion: Granite Bay Grizzlies (currently 0-1)
(16) Monterey Trail (Elk Grove) DVL 1-1 @ (1) Tokay (Lodi) TCAL 2-0
(9) Beyer (Modesto) 2-0 @ (8) Pitman (Turlock) CCC 2-0
(12) Sheldon (Sacramento) 2-0 @ (5) Merced CCC 2-0
(13) Jesuit (Carmichael) DRL 1-0 @ (4) Roseville SFL 2-0
(11) Folsom DRL 2-0 @ (6) Modesto MMC 2-0
(14) Edison (Stockton) TCAL 1-0 @ (3) Franklin (Elk Grove) DVL 2-0
(10) Turlock CCC 2-0 @ (7) Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) DRL 2-0
(15) Tracy SJAA 1-1 @ (2) Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) DRL 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Tokay: vs. Weston Ranch (Stockton) 0-1
Oak Ridge: vs. Franklin (EG) @ Cosumnes Oaks HS (Elk Grove) 2-0
Division II- Defending Champion: Folsom Bulldogs (currently 2-0)
(16) Atwater CCC 1-1 @ (1) Elk Grove DVL 2-0
(8) Vallejo SCAC 1-0 @ (9) Whitney (Rocklin) CAL 1-1
(12) Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove) SVC 1-1 @ (5) Gregori (Modesto) MMC 2-0
(13) Wood (Vacaville) MEL 1-1 @ (4) Ponderosa (Shingle Springs) DRL 2-0
(11) Burbank (Sacramento) ML 1-1 @ (6) Vacaville MEL 1-0
(14) Bear Creek (Stockton) SJAA 1-1 @ (3) Grant (Sacramento) DVL 2-0
(10) Del Oro (Loomis) SFL 1-1 @ (7) Laguna Creek (Elk Grove) DVL 1-0
(15) Bethel (Fairfield) SCAC 1-1 @ (2) St. Mary's (Stockton) TCAL 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Elk Grove vs. Del Campo (Fair Oaks) 1-1 (Saturday 9/14)
St. Mary's vs. Del La Salle (Concord) 2-0 on ESPN
Division III- Defending Champion: Oakdale Mustangs (currently 0-2)
(16) Sierra (Manteca) VOL 1-1 @ (1) Inderkum (Sacramento) TCC 2-0
(8) Casa Roble (Orangevale) CVC 2-0 @ (9) Rosemont (Sacramento) ML 1-0
(12) Lincoln PVL 1-0 @ (5) American Canyon SCAC 2-0
(4) Yuba City TCC 2-0 @ (13) Vista del Lago (Folsom) SVC 1-1
(11) River Valley (Yuba City) TCC 1-0 @ (6) Christian Brothers (Sacramento) CVC 2-0
(14) Manteca VOL 1-1 @ (3) Oakmont (Roseville) CVC 2-0
(10) Vanden (Fairfield) SCAC 1-0 @ (7) Patterson WAC 2-0
(15) Antelope CAL 1-1 @ (2) Benicia SCAC 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Inderkum @ Casa Roble (Orangevale) 2-0
Benicia @ Carillo (Santa Rosa) 0-1
Division IV- Defending Champion: Central Catholic Raiders (currently 1-1)
(16) Central Catholic (Modesto) WAC 1-1 @ (1) Ripon TVL 2-0
(9) Riverbank TVL 2-0 @ (8) Center (Antelope) PVL 2-0
(12) Hughson TVL 1-0 @ (5) Amador (Sutter Creek) MLL 2-0
(13) Bear River (Grass Valley) PVL 1-0 @ (4) Capital Christian (Sacramento) GEL 2-0
(11) West Campus (Sacramento) GEL 2-0 @ (6) Hilmar TVL 2-0
(14) Mesa Verde (Citrus Heights) GEL 1-0 @ (3) Los Banos WAC 2-0
(10) Calaveras (San Andreas) MLL 1-0 @ (7) Marysville GEL 2-0
(15) Escalon TVL 1-1 @ (2) Colfax PVL 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Ripon vs. Ripon Christian 1-0
Colfax vs. Union Mine (El Dorado) 0-2
DIVISIONS I-IV
Last 4 IN First 4 OUT
Escalon (Division IV Bracket) Modesto Christian (TVL) 1-1
Atwater (Division II Bracket) Downey (Modesto) (MMC) 1-1
Central Catholic (Division IV Bracket) Argonaut (Jackson) (MLL) 1-1
Bethel (Division II Bracket) River Valley (Yuba City) (TCC) 1-1
DIVISIONS V-VI
Division V- Defending Champion: Le Grand Bulldogs (currently 2-0)
(5) Mariposa SL 1-0 vs. (4) San Juan (Citrus Heights) SDL 2-0
winner would play (1) Delhi SL 2-0
(6) Millennium (Tracy) CCAA 1-1 @ (3) Le Grand SL 2-0
winner would play (2) Rio Vista SDL 2-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds: Delhi @ Riverbank 2-0
Rio Vista @ Esparto 0-2
Division VI- Defending Champion: Brookside Christian Knights (currently 0-1)
(5) Bradshaw Christian (Sacramento) SDL 1-1 @ (4) Cristo Rey (Sacramento) SMAL 1-1
winner would play (1) Woodland Christian SMAL 2-0
(6) Vacaville Christian SDL 0-0 @ (3) Big Valley (Modesto) CCAA 1-1
winner would play (2) Ripon Christian SL 1-0
Week 2 Opponents for top 2 seeds:
Woodland Christian vs. Cristo Rey (Sacramento) 1-1 (Saturday 9/14)
Ripon Christian vs. Ripon 2-0
DIVISIONS V-VI
Last 2 In First 2 Out
Vacaville Christian (Division VI Bracket) Denair (SL) 0-1
Bradshaw Christian (Division VI Bracket) Sierra Ridge/ROP (San Andreas) (CCAA) 0-1
NCAA Football
This is what the NCAA football playoffs would look like if I had my way. Please see my blog for week 1 for an explaination of how it would work.
Conference Leaders
SEC- Mississippi (1-0, 2-0)
American Athletic- Houston (1-0, 2-0)
ACC- Boston College (1-0, 2-0)
Big 10- Wisconsin (2-0)
Big 12- Oklahoma (1-0, 2-0)
Conference USA- East Carolina (1-0, 2-0)
MAC- Bowling Green (1-0, 2-0)
Mountain West- Fresno St. (2-0)
PAC-12- Washington St. (1-0, 1-1)
Sun Belt- Troy (2-0)
Wildcards
Alabama (1-0)
Oregon (2-0)
Bracket
1. Oklahoma
Bye
8. Washington St.
9. Boston College
5. Alabama
12. Troy
4. Fresno St.
Bye
6. Oregon
11. Houston
3. Mississippi
Bye
7. Bowling Green
10. East Carolina
2. Wisconsin
Bye
(Note: I can almost guarantee that the final bracket would look nothing like this by the end of the season, but it is what it would look like after week 2.)
Thursday, September 5, 2013
If I had my way in making college football playoffs-Week 1 2013
If I had my way, the NCAA playoffs would have 12 teams (10 conference winners and 2 wildcards). The two wildcards would be decided by the 2 highest teams rated in the BCS who did not win the conference. Why are conference winners so important in my opinion? It is because whether one thinks they can play with everyone else or not, they deserve to have a chance to prove it on the field. There have been teams out there that were not just great because of the weak schedule, they were great despite the weak schedule, and the big boys were too afraid to schedule them. The day is going to come when a team like Arkansas State will be one of the best teams, but not be given the chance because the Red Wolves play in the Sun Belt. Plus, having only conference winners lowers chance of any bias out there.
Seeding the teams: The top-4 seeds would get a bye in the first round. The BCS rankings would be the top system used, then if anyone is ranked (or have votes) in the AP poll, finally any other system that ranks all 125 Division I-FBS teams will be used to decide the final seeds. There are two exceptions: 1) No wildcard team may be in the top-4 unless it has a BETTER record than at least 7 conference winners, 2) teams of the same conference may not meet until the championship game. I would drop the wildcard team a seed or two if necessary.
For the first half of the season, the model for the playoffs looks weird, because the sample size is small, and of the formula I use for the conference leader. Until there are enough head-to-head match-ups, I use point differential for the leader (until the BCS rankings come out, then I use BCS rankings for tie-breakers). Conference games take priority. The ACC and SEC have had one game each, those winners are used as conference leaders. Don't worry, I have done this for a few years, teams play themselves out to where the seeds are supposed to be as the season goes on, but again, it looks weird the first few weeks.
Here's what the model of week 1 looks like:
Conference Leaders
American Athletic- Houston (1-0) PAC-12- Oregon (1-0)
ACC- Florida St. (1-0, 1-0) Sun Belt- Arkansas St. (1-0)
Big 10- Michigan (1-0) SEC-Mississippi (1-0, 1-0)
Big 12- Baylor (1-0)
Conference USA- Marshall (1-0) Wildcards
MAC- Bowling Green (1-0) Alabama (1-0)
Mountain West- Air Force (1-0) Ohio St. (1-0)
Tournament (all games except championship would be at higher seed)
1) Oregon
Bye
9) Arkansas St.
8) Mississippi
12) Air Force
5) Ohio St.
4) Baylor
Bye
11) Houston
6) Alabama
3) Michigan
Bye
10) Marshall
7) Bowling Green
2) Florida St.
Bye
Seeding the teams: The top-4 seeds would get a bye in the first round. The BCS rankings would be the top system used, then if anyone is ranked (or have votes) in the AP poll, finally any other system that ranks all 125 Division I-FBS teams will be used to decide the final seeds. There are two exceptions: 1) No wildcard team may be in the top-4 unless it has a BETTER record than at least 7 conference winners, 2) teams of the same conference may not meet until the championship game. I would drop the wildcard team a seed or two if necessary.
For the first half of the season, the model for the playoffs looks weird, because the sample size is small, and of the formula I use for the conference leader. Until there are enough head-to-head match-ups, I use point differential for the leader (until the BCS rankings come out, then I use BCS rankings for tie-breakers). Conference games take priority. The ACC and SEC have had one game each, those winners are used as conference leaders. Don't worry, I have done this for a few years, teams play themselves out to where the seeds are supposed to be as the season goes on, but again, it looks weird the first few weeks.
Here's what the model of week 1 looks like:
Conference Leaders
American Athletic- Houston (1-0) PAC-12- Oregon (1-0)
ACC- Florida St. (1-0, 1-0) Sun Belt- Arkansas St. (1-0)
Big 10- Michigan (1-0) SEC-Mississippi (1-0, 1-0)
Big 12- Baylor (1-0)
Conference USA- Marshall (1-0) Wildcards
MAC- Bowling Green (1-0) Alabama (1-0)
Mountain West- Air Force (1-0) Ohio St. (1-0)
Tournament (all games except championship would be at higher seed)
1) Oregon
Bye
9) Arkansas St.
8) Mississippi
12) Air Force
5) Ohio St.
4) Baylor
Bye
11) Houston
6) Alabama
3) Michigan
Bye
10) Marshall
7) Bowling Green
2) Florida St.
Bye
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