Sunday, October 4, 2015

Week 5 High School Football playoffs

I wanted to see what the playoff field would look like if the regular season ended today. There is one change in the way teams qualify for the playoffs. Seven leagues will receive an extra automatic bid due to the playoff success (DL, PVL, SFL, SL, TVL, TCC, and VOL). That means the number of at-large bids drops from 28 to 21 (at this point, all but one team in the leagues with the extra bids would have made the playoffs anyway. Pioneer is the team that wouldn't have, and Gregori would now be out.) There are two changes in division placement. League champions now have to play in the division the league is assigned. For example, Wood is small enough for Division III, but since it is leading a Division I league, it would have to play in Division I. The second one is that the definition of "competition success" has broadened. The only team that would have moved up because of the playoffs would not be in as of now (but expect that to change at the actual end of season).

Last 4 teams in: Vintage, Highlands, St. Mary's, Franklin (Elk Grove)
First 2 teams out: Gregori, Golden Valley (I would have done 1st 4 if I thought about it earlier, but I remember these are the first two.)

Division I
(16) Enochs (Modesto) @ (1) Folsom
(9) Woodcreek (Roseville) @ (8) Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove)
(12) Modesto @ (5) Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove)
(13) West (Tracy) @ (4) Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills)
(11) Monterey Trail (Elk Grove) @ (6) Turlock
(14) Chavez (Stockton) @ (3) Wood (Vacaville)
(10) McNair (Stockton) @ (7) Franklin (Elk Grove)
(15) Kennedy (Sacramento) @ (2) Elk Grove

DIVISION II
(16) Tokay (Lodi) @ (1) Grant (Sacramento)
(9) Whitney (Rocklin) @ (8) Turlock
(12) Downey (Modesto) @ (5) Antelope 
(13) Sacramento @ (4) Napa
(11) Jesuit (Carmichael) @ (6) Rocklin
(14) Vanden (Fairfield) @ (3) Del Oro (Loomis)
(10) Del Campo (Fair Oaks) @ (7) St. Mary's (Stockton)
(15) Vintage (Napa) @ (2) Granite Bay

DIVISION III
(16) Pioneer (Woodland) @ (1) Oakdale
(9) Vista del Lago (Folsom) @ (8) Los Banos
(12) Sierra (Manteca) @ (5) River Valley (Yuba City)
(13) Christian Brothers (Sacramento) @ (4) Patterson
(11) Burbank (Sacramento) @ (6) Placer (Auburn)
(14) Central Valley (Ceres) @ (3) Manteca
(10) Benicia @ (7) Inderkum (Sacramento)
(15) El Dorado (Placrrville) @ (2) Central Catholic (Modesto)

DIVISION IV
(8) Lindhurst (Olivehurst) @ (1) Sonora
(5) Weston Ranch (Stockton) @ (4) Union Mine (El Dorado)
(6) Dixon @ (3) Calaveras (San Andreas)
(7) Center (Antelope) @ (2) Lathrop

DIVISION V
(8) Amador (Sutter Creek) @ (1) Bear River (Grass Valley)
(5) Orestimba (Newman) @ (4) Escalon
(6) Marysville @ (3) Hughson
(7) Hilmar @ (2) Highlands (North Highlands)

DIVISION VI
(8) Rio Vista @ (1) Capital Christian
(5) Summerville (Tuolumne City) @ (4) Ripon Christian
(6) Golden Sierra (Garden Valley) @ (3) Gustine
(7) Mariposa @ (2) Bradshaw Christian (Sacramento)

DIVISION VII
CCAA 1 Stone Ridge Christian would have a bye
SMAL 3 Valley Christian (Roseville) @ CCAA 2 Brookside Christian (Stockton)
SMAL 1 Woodland Christian would have a bye
CCAA 3 Big Valley (Modesto) @ SMAL 2 Delta (Clarksburg)

Three teams I think will be in the playoffs who are not there now: Colfax, Gregori (Modesto), Modesto Christian

Three teams 1 think won't be in the playoffs who would be there now: Monterey Trail (Elk Grove), West (Tracy), Weston Ranch (Stockton)